(By TNW correspondent)
Presenting new fiscal year’s budget in parliament is a challenge for the government because of the possibility of some ruling party members’ preparedness to vote against the whip of their party CPN UML.
More over Prime Minister Oli does not have comfortable relation with the Speaker of the House of Representatives. The likelihood of opposition politicos’ move against the PM during the budget session of parliament is great.
All the points indicate that the budget for the next fiscal year will be announced through ordinance, said a senior politico in Kathmandu. “It will be risky for the PM to face the parliament. Either a vote of no confidence against PM or a deficit vote for the budget could be the reality in the budget session. Both could challenge the PM directly.
Escaping such a scenario in the House of Representatives is what is engaging the think tank of Baluwatar these days, say observers adding “the PM will not be prepared to face the House in such hostile situation.” PM Oli would once again try to lead the country to polls arguing that the parliament would not be able to replace him in a comfortable manner.
Talks to this effect are learnt to have been initiated among some party leaders and the PM, say some senior analysts. The Janata Samajwadi Party, although divided over the issue of supporting or opposing PM Oli, appears to be closer to joining the government in the near future. The second wave of COVID-19 could be utilized by the government as an excuse not to have the parliamentary budget session. In order to avoid the session, the government might introduce some lockdown measures which will in turn make it not possible to have parliamentary meeting.